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You can rule out How to Train Your Dragon 2 due to Rule Four, and neither Boxtrolls, Song of the Sea, or The Tale of Princess Kaguya qualify for any of the four criteria. So how do our prospective nominees line up? Otherwise sequels (or spin-offs, in the case of Puss-in-Boots) are zero-for-four. All things being equal, being Pixar sure helps.ĭon't be a sequel: The only sequel to ever win was Toy Story 3, and that one had rules 1-3 up there going for it. Even a film like Brave, which had decidedly not set the world on fire like its predecessors, still managed to triumph in 2012 over a field that failed to produce a clear frontrunner. If popularity isn't king in this category, it's at least a crown prince.īe Pixar: The animation studio has utterly dominated this category over the years, winning seven of the nine years in which it had a film nominated.
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Both Up in 2009 and Toy Story 3 in 2010 ended up among the 10 Best Picture nominees those years, and both walked to easy victories in the animated category.īe a massive blockbuster: Only two of the last 14 winners in this category have failed to crack $100 million, and in fact all but two of those movies failed to crack $200 million. So who wins? Historically-the Best Animated Feature category has existed since 2001-there have been a few proven routes to the Oscar:īe a Best Picture nominee: Since the Best Picture category expanded beyond five nominees in 2009, animated films are suddenly welcome at the big table. If I had to guess right now, I'd say your nominees are looking like Lego, Big Hero 6, How to Train Your Dragon 2, The Boxtrolls, and either Song of the Sea or Princess Kaguya. Of these nine movies, only two ( Penguins and Song of the Sea) have yet to open, and neither one of them feels like they have the potential to become the kind of popular/critical hit to end up as the winner here. The Tale of Princess Kaguya: The latest from Studio Ghibli, whose three previous nominees ( The Wind Rises, Howl’s Moving Castle, and 2002 winner Spirited Away) were all directed by Hayao Miyazaki. Song of the Sea: The latest from animation distributor GKids, which gave us 2009 nominee The Secret of Kells, 2011’s Chico and Rita and A Cat in Paris, and 2013’s Ernest and Celestine. Rio 2: Even when the first Rio got that odd Best Original Song nomination, the film didn’t make the short list. Penguins of Madagacar: The Madagascar movies are reliable box-office smashes but have never been nominated at the Oscars. The Lego Movie: Probably the success story-animated or not-of the first third of 2014.
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How to Train Your Dragon 2: The first one probably would have won in 2010 if not for a little movie called Toy Story 3. The Boxtrolls: The latest from animation company Laika, who scored a nomination a couple years ago for Paranorman. The Book of Life: Came and went at the box-office without a whole lot of fuss. According to movie awards sites The Film Experience and In Contention, the major contenders, in alphabetical order are:īig Hero 6: With all the might of Disney and Marvel at its back. To understand why it’s essentially a two-movie race, look at the field more broadly. The Seven Films That Can Still Win the Oscar for Best Picture